The State elections date is just six months away; there is a talk of early polls in the State. Who will gain if the polls are held in January / February? Can Chiru cover the State if the polls are held at an earlier date? Is the Congress party fully prepared? The December elections in the four States will determine the strategies of UPA for parliament elections.There is a talk of allotting tickets by the Congress party. In the review meeting, there was a topic of distribution of seats which is giving weightage to the early poll talk.
Though Chief Minister YS Rajasekhara Reddy is talking of polls as per schedule, there are enough indications for early polls. The Congress leaders do not want to give Praja Rajyam party enough time for campaigning. The Congress party is which in all probability will go to polls alone has to face the combined TRS-TDP that will give tough fight in Telangana. In Andhra region, PR may lead leaving only Rayalaseema to the Congress party.
Even the elections are held as per schedule, the parties cannot relax. Every day there is one new development and nobody knows what happens to alliances.
Will YSR hesitate to go to early polls due to TDP loss in 2004? Even NDA blamed Naidu for early polls, of course after the results are out.
PR spokesman Parakala Prabhakar said that their party is ready for polls at any time. Chiru will announce the party policy decisions during his tour which commence on 9th of this month he added
1 comments:
October 4, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Remedy for bogus voters(s)
Dear Chiru fans,
You might have heard about by-election news for a municipal corporation division in Nellore. The by-election was necessitated by the death of an Indian National Congress corporator. There was an understanding between the TDP and INC district leadership that TDP should not contest in the by-election, because the corporator died due to an illness and agreed to elect the deceased corpotator’s wife unanimously.
But the corporation division TDP committee wanted to field a candidate in the election, so the TDP leadership inevitable allowed to file a nomination on party basis. TDP leadership and every sensible politician predicted that INC candidate’s win is eminent. So the Nellore City and District TDP leadership did not provide the needed logistic support to the TDP candidate whole heartedly. INC fielded deceased corporator brothers’ son. TDP fielded the same candidate who defeated on the deceased corporator.
By all means INC candidate win is eminent due to the wide spread sympathy, Nellore MLA wanted to secure the win with an impressive margin, even though this by-election may not be a decisive for any one. Ever since Nellore Mayor started questioning the high handed behavior of the Nellore MLA, he became defensive and insecure. On top of all these Nellore mayor joined PRP.
So Nellore MLA wanted to cover up his insecure mentality, they want to make sure that the INC candidate should win with an impressive majority. So Anam bothers {Viveka (MLA), Rama Narayana (Minister) and Jaya Kumar Reddy (Corporator)}, spent about 40 lakh rupees for the division by-election.
In spite of this excessive spending, that there is wide spread belief that INC candidate margin may not cross 100 votes. So in order to orchestrate an impressive margin victory, Nellore MLA ordered the RDO to issue fake voter identity cards to his party workers with the names in the by-election division voters list. The insiders confirmed news is that they prepared around 600 fake identity cards.
The TDP candidate does not have sufficient frame work on how organizing his party machinery on the election day. We already know that Nellore Urban & District TDP leadership did not take the election seriously. The police intelligence confirmed that TDP election agents may not get into the polling booths after two hours of the commencement of the polling. In contrast Anam brothers (MLA, Minister, and Corporator) along with the remaining congress leadership and hundreds of the party workers take positions as early as 6:00 AM.
On the election day, Anam brothers make sure that most of their fake voters will poll the first round of bogus voting cycle in the first 2 hours of the poll. For some reason TDP agents could not be able to detect the fake voters, until a bogus voter claimed to be the son of wealthy ex-Congress MLA’s son. The TDP election agent happen to know son of the ex-MLA, he challenged the bogus vote and apprehended the bogus voter and handed over to the police to arrest him. The INC chief election agent K.Sreedhar Reddy started a big drama at the polling booth along with some other INC party workers. In the mean time the bogus voter escaped the police custody. In order to divert the topic, INC chief election agent manhandled the TDP Chief election agent, so that the issue will get diverted and also the news about the fight will be spread, so that common woman should dare to come to polling booth.
The reason I am explaining this entire situation is to get some frame work about, how INC can play the dirty tricks on the election day, so that Chiru fans will get ready with the necessary training to defend Chiranjeevi interests.
I think Chiru fans need to consider the following items:
(1) TDP and INC party workers are more experienced in election management and
Man-power management on polling day.
(2) In 1999 assembly elections Chandrababu Naidu adopted the same bogus voter strategy and secured the victory.
(3) INC is also getting ready with the same strategy for the 2009 elections.
(4) Every single MLA constituency voters list officially changed minimum 10%, means boundaries of the constituencies has been adjusted so that 10% voters are joined from neighboring constituency.
(5) Also several constituencies’ reservation has been changed, means general to SC /ST reserved or SC/ST reservation to General category.
(6) Even for TDP and INC party workers need to get acquainted with the new 10% of the voters, but where as PRP workers need to get acquainted with 100% of the voters.
(7) In order to avoid the recent bogus voters situation, and resist the high handed behavior of the TDP or INC workers Chiru Fans and PRP workers need to do the following:
A. The registration of bogus voters and anarchy behavior of the lumphen elements of the INC and TDP is high in the urban areas. Several reasons causing this situation.
B. In order to make sure that Chiranjeevi should be CM, every Chiru fan need to start thinking how to avoid the bogus voters and how to challenge the INC and TDP lumphen elements. I think the devoted Chiru fans can stop this situation by doing the following:
C. Elect or Nominate booth wise organizing committees and start remembering all the voters in any single election booth. I think every election booth contain approximately 1000 votes.
D. For may people it is difficult to remember the names along with the faces of the 1000 people.
E. So it is a good idea to allocate one electronic camera and one refurbished lap top to each election booth and start collecting every single voter(s) photo and prepare one master PRP voters list. So that the PRP election agent in any given election booth compare the voters identity card with his own list. So that it will create a tremendous pressure on the bogus voter even to venture a fake vote.
F. The bogus voting situation is predominantly in the urban areas, where the population is highly current. Some pockets of the urban areas, where the real estate is very expensive and most of the houses are independent bungalows. But the urban areas, where there are a lot of new apartments are building, the population is highly dynamic / current /changing. These areas are likely target by the INC and TDP. Also the newly emerging low income or slum type of localities is also targeted by TDP and INC for bogus voters.
G. So it is vital to establish booth wise committees and gather a counter intelligence about actual voters and their likely probability of casting their votes. If the local booth committee identifies a probability less than .5 (50%), and if that voter showed up at the polling station, that is a potential voter to challenge as bogus vote.
H. If by any chance that the local booth committee assigns a probability that more that .5 (50%) that either INC or TDP will get majority, then the PRP election agents should start challenge every vote, so that the time it took for casting each vote would increase and we can reduce the risk, that either INC or TDP would get overall majority.
I. In this kind of situations, the INC and TDP elections agents will become nervous and stressed out, so that they will start a fight and that will lead a overall reduction of voter turnout to the polling station. So in this situation, the other booth committee members start mobilizing guaranteed non casted PRP voters to the polling station.
J. In any situation that a PRP booth committee assigns a probability of more than .7 (70%) that INC or TDP would get majority, and then those booths need to be targeted by PRP workers to provoke a tension, which should lead to a lati-charge by the police.
K. Since PRP workers are new to the polling day management, and resisting INC and TDP lumphen elements, some how PRP workers need to get some kind of muscle power to deter the INC & TDP goons.
L. In order to get instant muscle power and psychological abundance stage, we need to identify the rowdy sheeter(s) in any given police station and identify who is not supported by the INC or TDP and get them involved with us on the election day.
M. Also identify the people in the booth committee area, who has been in police records with out a rowdy sheet and make friends with them, so that it needed those guys can work as our musclemen.
N. Also identify if there are any women government workers are on election duty, or any voters any living in a different state, start make arrangements for casting the vote through a postal ballot.
O. In think there are so many other items that we can not discuss openly through this open forum, because people are gathering intelligence.
IMPORTANT: Gather photos of the all the voters in any given urban polling booth and start data base them. If we have a mechanism that tally the voters who casted the vote, we can predict the winner with 95% confidence interval, while the polling is going on. If the results are favorable to us, we can release the info through the PRP grape wine, so that we can demoralize the INC and TDP workers way before the poll closing time.
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